Нарративная экономика. Новая наука о влиянии вирусных историй на экономические события - Роберт Шиллер

class="p1">6. Robert Shiller, Lessons from the October 1987 Market Plunge, New York Times, October 22, 2017, p. BU3, https://www.nytimes.com/2017/10/19/business/stock-market-crash-1987.html.

7. Galbraith, 1955. Он противоречил другим, заявляя о «росте числа самоубийств, связанных с депрессией: по данным национального исследования в 1931 году на 100 тысяч человек приходилось 20,5 самоубийств, что было самым высоким показателем с 1915 года». (“Rise in Suicide Rate Laid to Depression: National Survey Shows 20.5 of 100,000 People Took Their Lives in 1931 – Highest Figure since 1915,” New York Times, June 23, 1939, p. 24.) Вебб с соавторами (2002 г.) в своей работе показывают умеренную положительную корреляцию между уровнем безработицы за последний год и числом самоубийств, особенно среди белых мужчин.

8. Johnson and Tversky, 1983.

9. When Youth and Beauty Go – What Then? Louisville Courier-Journal, January 19, 1930, p. 87.

10. Terkel, 1970, p. 67.

11. Terkel, 1970, p. 376.

12. Terkel 1970, p. 164.

13. Kempton, 1998 [1955], prelude, location 118.

14. Jody Chudley, JFK’s Father Used a Simple Trick to Spot Market Bubbles – and You Can Too, Business Insider, October 12, 2017, http://www.businessinsider.com/how-to-spot-stock-market-bubbles-2017-10.

15. Baruch, 1957.

16. Conservatives Begin to Realize Value of War Specialty Stocks, Minneapolis Morning

Tribune, July 26, 1915, p. 15.

Глава 17. Бойкоты, спекулянты и порочный бизнес

1. Charles C. Boycott, The State of Ireland, Times(London), October 18, 1880, p. 6.

2. Wolman, 1916, p. 24.

3. Wolman, 1916, p. 34.

4. Who Is a Profiteer, and What Shall Be Done with Him? New York Tribune, June 16, 1918, p. D3.

5. http://avalon.law.yale.edu/20thcentury/harding.asp.

6. General Drop in Prices Forecast: Bankers and Traders Expect a Material Reduction in Practically All Lines – Say Era of Extravagance Has Passed, Christian Science Monitor, September 25, 1920, p. 4.

7. Women Fight High Prices, Globe, September 4, 1920, p. 6.

8. US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Monthly Labor Review, September 2014, https://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2014/article/the-first-hundred-years-of-the-consumer-price-index.htm.

9. Sees High Prices for Several Years, Boston Daily Globe, January 5, 1920, p. 13.

10. Аткесон и Кехо (2004 г.) оспорили данные за сто лет, собранные в семнадцати странах, о пятилетних темпах инфляции и темпах экономического роста. Они считают, что между ними нет существенной связи, если исключить Великую депрессию 1929–1934 годов.

11. Attacks Profiteers in Immorality, Boston Daily Globe, May 5, 1919, p. 2.

12. Mortimer Fishel, Lawyers Who Feed on Soldiers’ Kin, New York Times, August 11, 1918, p. 41.

13. Henry Hazlitt, Profiteers as Public Benefactors, New York Times, March 21, 1920, p. 10.

14. Fisher, 1928, p. 7.

15. Federal Judge Whacks Profiteers Hard Blow, Los Angeles Times, June 3, 1920, p. 11.

16. Jacob H. Hollander, Ph.D., How Inflation Touches Every Man’s Pocketbook, New York Times, May 2, 1920, p. XX1.

17. Letters from the People: Excess Profits Tax, M. Hartley a Veteran of the Uncivil War, St. Louis Post-Dispatch, December 29, 1920, p. 28.

18. Profiteers Are Incubators for “Reds” – Capper, Chicago Daily Tribune, January 25, 1920, p. A9.

19. No Time for Pessimism, Baltimore Sun, December 17, 1920, p. 8.

20. Prices Will Never Reach 1914 Level, Globe and Mail, August 27, 1920, p. 7.

21. Trade Revival Coming, Hoover Tells Business, New York Tribune, April 29, 1921, p. 9.

22. Disjointed Prices, Nashville Tennessean, September 26, 1921, p. 4.

23. Summer Jewelry Is Conspicuous, St. Louis Post-Dispatch, July 23, 1921, p. 13.

24. Children Nowadays Are Spending Money as If It Grew on Bushes, Boston Daily Globe, October 23, 1921, p. E6.

25. Mitchell, 1985.

26. Samuel Crowther, Fixing Wages, Philadelphia Inquirer, June 8, 1936, p. 7.

27. Cole and Ohanian, 2004.

28. Favorable Conditions in Industry Cited, Detroit Free Press, October 29, 1929, p. 25.

29. Claude A. Jagger, Large Holiday Retail Sales Add Impetus to Business, Atlanta Constitution, December 23, 1929, p. 15.

30. If Deflation “Runs Its Course”, Christian Science Monitor, April 22, 1932, p. 16.

31. Catherine Hackett, Why We Women Won’t Buy, Forum and Century, December 1932.

32. Jersey Clubwomen Urged to Arouse Public Opinion in Favor of Spending, New York Herald Tribune, February 7, 1932, p. E11.

33. What Is a Bargain? Jewish Advocate, October 4, 1932, p. 3.

34. Buy-Now Campaign Started in Capital, Washington Post, October 25, 1930, p. 7.

35. The Buy Now Campaign, Hartford Courant, October 16, 1933, p. 8.

36. Arthur Brisbane, Buy in August Campaign Will Help City Merchants, Austin Statesman, August 2, 1933, p. 4.

37. Angry Americans Lead Charge on Big Energy Bills, Boston Globe, March 9, 1975, p. 2.

38. Richard L. Strout, Fighting Back at Inflation: Will Nixon Be Able to Put Out Flames? Christian Science Monitor, July 11, 1974, p. 1.

39. Lawrence Van Gelder, Some Prices Cut by Meat Boycott, New York Times, April 6, 1973, p. 1.

40. A Boycott Fizzle – Little There to Boycott, Atlanta Constitution, August 8, 1973, p. 26E.

41. High Meat Prices: Housewives to Mobilize Again, Los Angeles Times, January 20, 1974, sf_a1; Nationwide Meat, Grain Boycott Launched by Consumer Group, Los Angeles Times, January 24, 1974, p. A1.

Глава 18. Зарплатно-ценовая спираль и порочные профсоюзы

1. Lindbeck and Snower, 2001.

2. https://news.gallup.com/poll/12751/labor-unions.aspx. Зафиксированная Gallup общественная поддержка профсоюзов в Соединенных Штатах набирает силу с 2009 года, к 2018 году она достигла 62 % одобрения респондентов.

3. J. H. Carmical, Railroads Facing New Labor Crisis, New York Times, March 12, 1950, p. F1.

4. Joe Edwards, Transcripts Cite Hoffa Allies’ Plot against FBI, Boston Globe, July 25, 2009, p. A10.

5. Blinder, 2004.

6. Bernanke et al., 1998.

7. Eisenhower, State of the Union Address, January 10, 1957, https://www.eisenhower.archives.gov/all_about_ike/speeches/1957_state_of_the_union.pdf.

8. Virgil P. Pownall, Greed Blamed for Inflation, Los Angeles Times, August 26, 1957, p. B4.

9. Our Price Policeman, New York Times, June 18, 1957, p. 32.

10. Friedman, 1973, p. ix.

11. Friedman, 1973, p. xi.

12. Sydney J. Harris, Nothing about our Current Wage-Price Spiral Makes Sense, Arizona Republic, October 8, 1975, p. 7.

13. Shiller, 1997, p. 16.

14. Donald I. Rogers, Cause of Recession? No One Really Knows: It Came Like a Sudden Shower and Is the Oddest in History, New York Herald Tribune, March 31, 1958, p. 1.

15. Richards, 1863, p. 12.

16. Fisher, 1928, p. 7.

Глава 19. Нарративы будущего и исследования будущего

1. Hopkins et al., 2016.

2. Indiana University Lilly Family School of Philanthropy, GenerosityForLife.org, Charitable Profile, http://generosityforlife.org/generosity-data/data-tools/generosity-reports/.

3. Reading Aloud, Washington Post, October 25, 1899, p. 6.

4. Colley, 2003.

5. О женщинах см. Driscoll et al., 2009.

6. ОЭСР, Behavioral Insights, 2017, http://www.oecd.org/gov/regulatory-policy/behavioural-insights.htm. См. также Zeina Afif, “Nudge Units” – Where They Came From and What They Can Do, World Bank “Let’s Talk Development” blog, October 25, 2017, http://blogs.worldbank.org/developmenttalk/nudge-units-where-they-came-and-what-they-can-do.

7. https://millercenter.org/the-presidency/presidential-speeches/march-4-1933-first-inaugural-address.

8. https://millercenter.org/the-presidency/presidential-speeches/march-12-1933-fireside-chat-1-banking-crisis.

9. See https://www.sistrix.com/ask-sistrix/google-index-google-bot-crawler/why-does-a-google-search-with-the-parenthesis-operator-sometimes-deliver-more-results-than-the-same-search-without-it/.

10. Callahan and Elliott, 1996.

11. Piore, 2010.

12. Blinder, 1990; Blinder et al., 1998.

13. Bewley, 1999.

14. Дэвид и Кристина Ромер (1989 г.), используя то, что они назвали «нарративным подходом», проанализировали отчеты о мерах экономической политики и протоколы заседаний Комитета по операциям на открытом рынке Федеральной резервной системы США, чтобы определить