Злой рок. Политика катастроф - Нил Фергюсон

in England and Wales During the Twentieth Century», Journal of Population Studies 29, no. 3 (1975), pp. 391–422.

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807

Christakis, Apollo’s Arrow, p. 111.

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808

David Cutler and Ellen Meara, «Changes in the Age Distribution of Mortality Over the 20th Century», NBER Working Paper No. 8556 (October 2001).

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809

Hampton, «End of Medical History», pp. 367–371.

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810

К несчастью для Слемрода, ничего подобного не произошло. Даже когда рухнул Советский Союз и ученые-атомщики перевели стрелки Часов Судного дня назад, на семнадцать минут до полуночи, норма частных сбережений продолжала неуклонно снижаться: с 9,4 % от располагаемого дохода в 1983 году, когда мир стоял на пороге катастрофы, до 2,5 % в 2005 году. (Прим. авт.)

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811

Joel Slemrod, «Post-War Capital Accumulation and the Threat of Nuclear War», NBER Working Paper No. 887 (1982); Joel Slemrod, «Fear of Nuclear War and Intercountry Differences in the Rate of Saving», NBER Working Paper No. 2801 (1988); Bruce Russett and Joel Slemrod, «Diminished Expectations of Nuclear War and Increased Personal Savings: Evidence from Individual Survey Data» NBER Working Paper No. 4031 (1992).

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812

John Farley, Brock Chisholm, the World Health Organization and the Cold War (Vancouver and Toronto: UBC Press, 2008), p. 56.

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813

Meredith Reid Sarkees, «The Correlates of War Data on War: An Update to 1997», Conflict Management and Peace Science 18, no. 1 (2000), pp. 123–144.

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814

Max Roser, «War and Peace After 1945», Our World in Data (2015), http://ourworldindata.org/data/war-peace/war-and-peace-after-1945/.

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815

Center for Systemic Peace, «Assessing the Qualities of Systemic Peace», https://www.systemicpeace.org/conflicttrends.html.

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816

Peter J. Hotez, «Vaccines as Instruments of Foreign Policy», European Molecular Biology Organization Reports 2, no. 10 (2001), pp. 862–868.

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817

David M. Oshinsky, Polio: An American Story (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2005), pp. 252f.

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818

Erez Manela, «Smallpox Eradication and the Rise of Global Governance», in The Shock of the Global: The 1970s in Perspective, ed. Niall Ferguson et al. (Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 2010), pp. 256–257.

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819

Jared Diamond, «Lessons from a Pandemic», Financial Times, May 25, 2020, https:.//www.ft.com/content/71ed9f88-9f5b-11ea-b65d-489c67b0d85d

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820

«Biological Weapons in the Former Soviet Union: An Interview with Dr. Kenneth Alibek», Nonproliferation Review, Spring/Summer 1999, pp. 1-10.

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821

Clark Whelton, «Say Your Prayers and Take Your Chances: Remembering the 1957 Asian Flu Pandemic», City Journal, March 13, 2020, https://www.city-journal.org/1957-asian-flu-pandemic.

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822

Henderson et al., «Public Health and Medical Responses», pp. 270, 272.

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823

Justin McCarthy, «Americans Differ Greatly in Readiness to Return to Normal», Gallup, April 30, 2020, https://news.gallup.com/poll/309578/americans-differ-greatly-readiness-return-normal.aspx.

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824

R. J. Reinhart, «Roundup of Gallup COVID-19 Coverage», October 19, 2020, https://news.gallup.com/opinion/gallup/308126/roundup-gallup-covid-coverage.aspx.

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825

Michele Gelfand et al., «Cultural and Institutional Factors Predicting the Infection Rate and Mortality Likelihood of the COVID-19 Pandemic», PsyArXiv, April 1, 2020, https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/m7f8a.

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826

Charles Murray, Coming Apart: The State of White America, 1960–2010 (New York: Crown Forum, 2012).

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827

U. S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, «All Employees, Federal [CES9091000001]», retrieved from FRED: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001.

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828

U. S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, «All Employees, Government [USGOVT]», retrieved from FRED: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/USGOVT.

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829

U. S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, «All Employees, Government».

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830

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and U. S. Office of Management and Budget, «Gross Federal Debt as Percent of Gross Domestic Product [GFDGDPA188S]», retrieved from FRED: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GFDGDPA188S.

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831

«Budget Projections: Debt Will Exceed the Size of