Злой рок. Политика катастроф - Нил Фергюсон

552

Andrew T. Newell and Ian Gazeley, «The Declines in Infant Mortality and Fertility: Evidence from British Cities in Demographic Transition», IZA Discussion Paper No. 6855 (October 2012), p. 17.

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553

V. Huber, «The Unification of the Globe by Disease? The International Sanitary Conferences on Cholera, 1851–1894», The Historical Journal 49, no. 2 (2006), pp. 466f.

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554

Nigel Jones, Rupert Brooke: Life, Death and Myth (London: Head of Zeus, 2015), p. 60.

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555

Victoria Y. Fan, Dean T. Jamison, and Lawrence H. Summers, «Pandemic Risk: How Large Are the Expected Losses?» Bulletin of the World Health Organization 96 (2018), pp. 129–134, http://dx.doi.org/10.2471/BLT.17.199588.

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556

D. E. Kilbourne, «Influenza Pandemics of the 20th Century», Emerging Infectious Diseases 12, no. 1 (2006), pp. 9-14.

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557

Niall Ferguson, «Black Swans, Dragon Kings and Gray Rhinos: The World War of 1914–1918 and the Pandemic of 2020-?», Hoover History Working Paper 20201 (May 2020).

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558

Christopher Clark, The Sleepwalkers: How Europe Went to War in 1914 (New York: HarperCollins, 2012).

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559

Niall Ferguson, The War of the World: Twentieth-Century Conflict and the Descent of the West (New York: Penguin Press, 2006).

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560

Charles S. Maier, Recasting Bourgeois Europe: Stabilization in France, Germany, and Italy in the Decade After World War I (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1975).

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561

Barry Eichengreen, Golden Fetters: The Gold Standard and the Great Depression, 1919–1939 (New York and Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1992).

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562

Charles P. Kindleberger, The World in Depression, 1929–1939 (Berkeley: University of California Press, 2013 [1973]).

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563

Niall Philip Alan Sean Johnson, «Aspects of the Historical Geography of the 1918-19 Influenza Pandemic in Britain» (unpublished PhD diss., Cambridge University, 2001), p. 116.

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564

Jeffery K. Taubenberger and David M. Morens, «1918 Influenza: The Mother of All Pandemics.» Emerging Infectious Diseases 12, no. 1 (January 2006), pp. 15–22.

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565

Edwin D. Kilbourne, «Influenza Pandemics of the 20th Century», Emerging Infectious Diseases 12, no. 1 (2006), pp. 9-14.

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566

Alfred W. Crosby, America’s Forgotten Pandemic: The Influenza of 1918, 2nd ed. (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2003), p. 19; Eugene Opie et al., «Pneumonia at Camp Funston», Journal of the American Medical Association 72 (January 1919), pp. 114f.

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567

Niall Ferguson, The Pity of War: Understanding World War I (New York: Basic Books, 1998), pp. 342f.

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568

Johnson, «Aspects of the Historical Geography», pp. 177ff., 355.

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569

Crosby, America’s Forgotten Pandemic, p. 37.

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570

Alexander W. Peters, «Influenza and the Press in 1918», Concord Review 14, no. 2 (Winter 2003), https://www.tcr.org/Influenza/.

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571

Niall P. A. S. Johnson and Juergen Mueller, «Updating the Accounts: Global Mortality of the 1918–1920 ‘Spanish’ Influenza Pandemic», Bulletin of the History of Medicine 76 (2002), pp. 105–115. См. также: Robert J. Barro, José F. Ursúa, and Joanna Weng, «The Coronavirus and the Great Influenza Pandemic: Lessons from the ‘Spanish Flu’ for the Coronavirus’s Potential Effects on Mortality and Economic Activity», NBER Working Paper No. 26866 (2020).

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572

Johnson, «Aspects of the Historical Geography», pp. 76, 234.

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573

Carol R. Byerly, «War Losses (USA)», International Encyclopedia of the First World War, October 8, 2014, https://encyclopedia.1914–1918-online.net/article/war_losses_usa/20141008.

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574

T. A. Garrett, «Economic Effects of the 1918 Influenza Pandemic Implications for a Modern-Day Pandemic», Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (November 2007).

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575

Elizabeth Brainard and Mark V. Siegler, «The Economic Effects of the 1918 Influenza Epidemic», Centre for Economic Policy Research Discussion Paper No. 3791 (February 2003).

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576